Roboloot · Capital Flow Command · v10.5

Essential Macro Dashboard

Fed/FRED + core market stress signals only. Green = no action. Yellow = watch/prepare. Red = move.

Loading
Capital Command
Pending

Loading data.

Cash Action
—

MMA vs short Treasury lock rates.

Risk Action
—

Drawdown + credit stress.

Data Integrity
—

Live source count.

No actionWatch / prepareMove / deploy

Decision Spine

Essential Data Points

Each card shows current reading, threshold logic, and action color.

Pending
Fed Policy
—

EFFR + 2Y

Red if Fed is easing below 4% while inflation stays sticky.
Inflation
—

Core PCE + expectations

Red if Core PCE or 5Y expectations remain sticky.
Labor
—

UNRATE + claims

Yellow/red if claims rise or unemployment gap widens.
Credit
—

HY OAS

Yellow at 4.5% OAS. Red at 6% OAS.
Curve
—

10Y–2Y

Yellow if steepening after inversion; watch recession transition.
Market
—

S&P drawdown

Yellow at -10%. Red at -20% or worse.
Cash Yield
—

MMA vs Treasuries

Green if MMA cushion ≥0.35 pts. Yellow 0.15–0.35. Red below 0.15.

Clear Conditions

When The Dashboard Tells You To Move

Simple thresholds. No hidden scoring black box.

DecisionGreen — no actionYellow — prepareRed — move
Rate-lock cashMMA beats best 6M/1Y/2Y Treasury by ≥0.35 pts.MMA cushion is 0.15–0.35 pts, or Fed easing is underway.MMA cushion is <0.15 pts, or Fed easing + sticky inflation threatens real cash return.
Inflation hedgeCore PCE cooling and inflation expectations contained.Core PCE above target but trending down.Fed easing while Core PCE / inflation expectations stay sticky.
Deploy crash sleeveS&P drawdown less than 10% and HY OAS below 4.5%.S&P -10% to -20%, or HY OAS 4.5–6%.S&P -20% or worse, or HY OAS ≥6%.
Avoid broad chaseValuation/crowding low and breadth strong.Mixed breadth or elevated crowding.High valuation/crowding and weak breadth unless crash triggers are active.

Crash Plan

No-Bottom-Guessing Deployment Ladder

Only rows marked red/active call for deployment.

Standby
TriggerActionStatus

Rate-Lock Execution

Ladder Suggestion

Converts the cash-yield signal into a percentage and duration mix. Uses percentages only, not account balances.

Pending
Suggested Move
—

Waiting for Treasury and MMA data.

Interpretation: The percentage applies to the cash you have already decided is eligible for rate-locking, not emergency cash.
Suggested Duration Mix
6 Month
—
12 Month
—
24 Month
—

Duration mix will update after live data loads.

Manual Market Index Inputs

Only What Fed Data Cannot Tell Us

These are inputs, not buttons. They refine whether to chase, wait, or only deploy by ladder.

Manual rule: If valuation/crowding are high and breadth is weak, do not chase broad indexes unless crash triggers are active.

Live Sources

Source-Backed Inputs

FRED/Fed series and calculated market signals used by the Worker.

Local History

Saved Snapshots

Stored in this browser only.

TimeCommandRegimeCashRisk
No saved snapshots.